Monday, November 22, 2010

Pre-Race Predictions from LetsRun Poll



The NCAA cross country championship races start in one hour, and the notorious LetsRun.com has posted the results of its readership poll on both the team and individual competition. Noteworthy among the predictions is that Villanova's women are the top choice to win the team title this year. Sheila Reid is considered by those who voted as the 2nd most likely runner to win the individual title (trailing only Oregon's Jordan Hasay in the poll). Amanda Marino is ranked 8th in the poll, along with Bogdana Mimic 25th. Oddly, Brooke Simpson received votes, despite not competing for Villanova this year. Here are the results, for whatever they're worth.

On the men's side, Villanova is predicted for a 22nd place finish. No Villanova male runners received votes in the individuals poll.

My own predictions (also worth little): Villanova women: 1st. Villanova men: 13th.


Women's Team Competition (first place votes in parentheses)
1. Villanova (556) 6118
2. Oregon (38) 4644
3. Florida State (19) 4155
4. Washington (14) 3911
5. Stanford (12) 3201
6. Georgetown (4) 2890
7. Colorado 2060
8. Texas Tech (1) 1439
9. Arizona (1) 1320
10. New Mexico (1) 1298

Others receiving votes: 11. Iowa State 569 12. Syracuse 511 13. Stony Brook 387 14. Duke 386 15. North Carolina 370 16. Princeton 329 17. Florida 309 18. Michigan State 292 19. Virginia 275 20. Penn State 246 21. Michigan 221 22. Providence 205 23. Oklahoma State 178 24. NC State 140 25. Minnesota 134 26. Boston College 113 27. Texas 110 28. Rice 59 29. Kansas State 36 30. Tulsa 32 31. Toledo 32

Women's Individual Competition (first place votes in parentheses)

1. Jordan Hasay (230) - Oregon 4541
2. Sheila Reid (106) - Villanova 2910
3. Kendra Schaaf (62) - North Carolina 2382
4. Lucy Van (47) - Stony Brook 1951
5. Emily Infeld (3) - Georgetown 1629
6. Risper Kimaiyo (20) - UTEP 1577
7. Laura Hoer (6) - NC State 1290
8. Amanda Marino (9) - Villanova 1268
9. Allie McLaughlin (10) - Colorado 1051
10. Pasca Cheruiyot (2) - Florida State 931
11. Christine Babcock (10) - Washington 887
12. Kathy Kroeger (1) - Stanford 771
13. Alex Kosinski (1) - Oregon 738
14. Emily Sisson (4) - Wisconsin 651
15. Holly Van (2) - Stony Brook 543
16. Emily MacLeod (2) - Michigan State 459
17. Charlotte Browning (1) - Florida 458
18. Cecily Lemmon (1) - BYU 426
19. Rebecca Lowe (1) - Florida 304
20. Rose Tanui (1) - Texas Tech 297

Others receiving votes: 21. Alex Banfich 279 22. Kristie Krueger 278 23. Purity Biwott 262 24. Deborah Maier 251 25. Bogdana Mimic 243 26. Betsy Saina 243 27. Stephanie Price 222 28. Alex Dunne 200 29. Marie Lawrence 177 30. Laura Tremblay 173 31. Alison Smith 171 32. Pilar McShine 150 33. Shelby Greany 139 34. Megan Hogan 129 35. Caitlin Comfort 107 36. Sarah Cummings 106 37. Juliet Bottoroff 91 38. Natalie Gray 91 39. Amanda Winslow 90 40. Jennifer Dunn 89 41. Hannah Davidson 83 42. Caroline Karunde 81 43. Brooke Simpson 81 44. Nicole Mericle 81 45. Ari Fisher 74 46. Mia Behm 74 47. Emily Pritt 70 48. Tara Erdmann 67 49. Morgane Gay 58 50. Ashley Higginson 56 51. Jessica Parry 53 52. Winrose Karunde 46 53. Semehar Tesfaye 46 54. Carly Seymour 43 55. Kristine Eikrem-Engeset 42 56. Hollie Knight 40 57. Marielle Hall 40 58. Corey Connor 36 59. Kaitlyn Peale 29 60. Stephanie Garcia 29 61. Stephanie Marcy 29 62. Lacey Oeding 28 63. Stacey Johnson 27 64. Anna Nosenko 26 65. Ruth Senior 24 66. Katie Hursey 23 67. Paula Whiting 23 68. Miranda Walker 19 69. Kristin Sutherland 17 70. Jessica Rydberg 15 71. Cate Westenhover 15 72. Rachel Patterson 12 73. Alexandra Lizarribar 11 74. Caroline McDonough 5 75. Sarah Waldron 4 76. Aliphine Tuliamuk 2 77. Kaitie Vanatta 1


Men's team Competition (first place votes in parentheses)
1. Stanford (441) 6495
2. Oklahoma State (201) 6110
3. Oregon (22) 5116
4. Wisconsin (14) 4226
5. Oklahoma (3) 2572
6. Colorado 2103
7. New Mexico 1892
8. Arkansas (2) 1817
9. Iona (1) 1692
10. Northern Arizona (NAU) (1) 1593

Others receiving votes: 11. Syracuse 737 12. Alabama 682 13. Florida State 585 14. Portland 433 15. William & Mary 329 16. Indiana 318 17. BYU 175 18. Princeton 121 19. Georgetown 112 20. California 103 21. Virginia 97 22. Villanova 85 23. Duke 84 24. NC State 61 25. Penn State 46 26. Minnesota 45 27. Texas 43 28. Notre Dame 38 29. Louisville 28 30. Richmond 25 31. Providence 22

Men's Individual Competition (first place votes in paraentheses)

1. Sam Chelanga (561) - Liberty 5973
2. Chris Derrick (22) - Stanford 4763
3. David McNeil (17) - NAU 4440
4. German Fernandez (2) - Ok. State 2197
5. Colby Lowe (2) - Ok. State 1966
6. Elliott Heath (2) - Stanford 1916
7. Luke Puskedra (2) - Oregon 1734
8. Girm Mecheso (1) - Ok. State 1228
9. Dorian Ulrey (1) - Arkansas 1139
10. Trevor Dunbar (1) - Portland 1089
11. Jake Riley (1) - Stanford 1010
12. Barnabas Kirui (1) - Ole Miss 635
13. Matt Centrowitz (2) - Oregon 537
14. Mohammed Ahmed (1) - Wisconsin 472
15. Leonard Korir (1) - Iona 431
16. Stephen Sambu (1) - Arizona 376
17. Donn Cabral (1) - Princeton 367
18. Ben Cheruiyot (1) - Auburn 316
19. Diego Estrada (1) - NAU 264
20. Evans Kigen (1) - Liberty 243

Others receiving votes: 21. Solomon Haile 212 22. Julius Bor 167 23. Michael Coe 160 24. Miles Batty 140 25. Festus Kigen 140 26. Ryan Hill 120 27. Kevin Schwab 106 28. Daniel Chenoweth 98 29. Reed Connor 89 30. Alfred Kipchumba 83 31. Ayalew Taye 74 32. David Bishop 68 33. Eric Finan 63 34. Moses Kiptoo 61 35. Emil Heineking 59 36. Hillary Bor 54 37. Carrison Kemei 40 38. Matthew Bayler 34 39. Lee Carey 33 40. Eric Fernandez 30 41. Soufiane Bouchikhi 30 42. Danny Mercardo 27 43. Tom Farrell 26 44. Ryan Dohner 25 45. Craig Forys 21 46. Kyle Dawson 20 47. Michael Eaton 17 48. Matt Leeder 16 49. Andrew Wacker 16 50. Fred Samoei 13 51. Ryan Collins 13 52. Chris Lemon 11 53. Dumisani Hlaselo 10 54. Patterson Wilhelm 10 55. Christian Thompson 9 56. Richard Medina 9 57. Lewis Woodward 9 58. Ahmed Osman 8 59. Jeff Thode 8 60. Vince McNally 8 61. Joel Rop 7 62. Brian Leung 7 63. Dan Jackson 6 64. Keith Gerrard 6 65. Dominic Channon 5 66. Robert Sorrell 5 67. Tito Medrano 5 68. Jonathan Peterson 4 69. Alexander Sodergerg 3 70. Justin Tyner 2 71. David Rooney 1

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